Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000631 0.000716 0.000806 0.000909 0.001022 0.001142 0.001279
2025-12-21 0.000486 0.000602 0.000734 0.000892 0.001077 0.001285 0.001536
2025-12-28 0.000426 0.000559 0.000717 0.000915 0.001156 0.001435 0.001783
2026-01-04 0.000376 0.000520 0.000698 0.000928 0.001217 0.001563 0.002004
2026-01-11 0.000328 0.000477 0.000667 0.000921 0.001248 0.001651 0.002176
2026-01-18 0.000289 0.000439 0.000638 0.000912 0.001274 0.001728 0.002334
2026-01-25 0.000262 0.000416 0.000624 0.000920 0.001320 0.001832 0.002526
2026-02-01 0.000237 0.000392 0.000607 0.000921 0.001355 0.001920 0.002699
2026-02-08 0.000206 0.000356 0.000572 0.000893 0.001348 0.001952 0.002798
2026-02-15 0.000181 0.000326 0.000542 0.000871 0.001346 0.001989 0.002903
2026-02-22 0.000164 0.000307 0.000525 0.000866 0.001367 0.002056 0.003048
2026-03-01 0.000149 0.000291 0.000512 0.000865 0.001392 0.002128 0.003202
2026-03-08 0.000134 0.000271 0.000493 0.000854 0.001404 0.002183 0.003334
2026-03-15 0.000119 0.000252 0.000472 0.000839 0.001409 0.002228 0.003453
2026-03-22 0.000113 0.000247 0.000475 0.000861 0.001469 0.002352 0.003687
2026-03-29 0.000106 0.000240 0.000472 0.000874 0.001515 0.002456 0.003894
2026-04-05 0.000096 0.000226 0.000458 0.000867 0.001529 0.002515 0.004037
2026-04-12 0.000087 0.000213 0.000443 0.000858 0.001540 0.002569 0.004172
2026-04-19 0.000081 0.000206 0.000439 0.000866 0.001578 0.002662 0.004367
2026-04-26 0.000075 0.000197 0.000431 0.000867 0.001604 0.002739 0.004539
2026-05-03 0.000066 0.000181 0.000408 0.000840 0.001584 0.002744 0.004603
2026-05-10 0.000058 0.000167 0.000389 0.000819 0.001572 0.002760 0.004684
2026-05-17 0.000053 0.000159 0.000379 0.000815 0.001586 0.002817 0.004827